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IFANS Focus Impact and Outlook for U.S. Foreign Policy under Trump 2.0 toward Latin America: Mexico, Brazil, and Argentina HA SangSub Upload Date 2025-01-03 Hits 16110
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1. Trump 2.0 and the Republican Trifecta in 2025
2. Deportation of Illegal Immigrants, Control and War against Organized Crime, and Protectionist Trade Policy Reinforcement
3. Return to Fossil Fuel-based Energy Security Policy and Its Impact on Latin America
4. Side Effects and Conflicts Arising from Trump 2.0 Foreign Policy Toward Mexico 
5. Potential Revival of Monroe Doctrine in 2025 and Conflicts over EU-MERCOSUR FTA
6. Support of Hispanic Voters for Trump and Its Potential Reflection on U.S. Foreign Policy
7. Shifts in U.S.-Brazil Relations during the Trump 2.0 and Lula 3.0 Era
8. Trump’s Right-Wing Government in the U.S. and Milei’s Radical Liberal Right-Wing Government in Argentina


1. Trump 2.0 and the Republican Trifecta in 2025

To evaluate the impact of a second Trump administration, starting in January 2025, on foreign policy toward 33 countries of Central and South America, including the Caribbean, it is crucial to examine identity in international policies and diplomacy under the Trump 2.0 era.
Trump 2.0’s international leadership combines traditional realist principles of power-based stability and peacekeeping, known as hegemony stability Robert C. O’Brien (2024), “The Return of Peace Through Strength: Making the Case for Trump’s Foreign Policy,” Foreign Affairs, July/August 2024 (June 18, 2024)
, and transactional diplomacy rooted in market liberalism. Additionally, Trump’s assertive and retaliatory diplomacy, driven by his charismatic leadership, forms a distinctly new model of leadership, shaping constructivist perspectives.
This multifaceted identity will become more secure if the ruling Republican Party clinches a “trifecta” by dominating the White House, Senate, and House of Representatives—a scenario depending on the outcome of the January 2025 House elections. In the early stages of the incoming administration, unchecked by Congress and supported by a 6-3 conservative Supreme Court majority, Republicans could wield absolute power across all branches, enabling stricter border controls, immigration reforms, and renewed trade policies—the list that poses growing concerns for Latin American countries, particularly Mexico, which shares a border with the U.S.
In the wake of Trump’s reelection, U.S. foreign policy priorities toward Latin America are expected to shift a focus on national security and economic concerns: tightening illegal immigration controls, combating drug cartels crossing the southern border, restricting Chinese products bypassing through the region, and, in particular, further strengthening protectionism against countries that facilitate such trade detours by raising tariffs (e.g., imposing retaliatory tariffs and renegotiating the USMCA in 2026 with Mexico).

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IFANS FOCUS 2024-15E(하상섭).pdf
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