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IFANS PERSPECTIVES The Ongoing Civil War in Sudan: Analysis and Prospect KIM Dong Suk Upload Date 2024-08-26 Hits 528
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1. Introduction  
2. Overview of Sudan’s Civil War
3. Background of Sudan’s Civil War
4. Prospect for Sudan’s Civil War
5. Policy Implications


Introduction  

 In April 2023, a simmering power struggle within Sudan’s military leadership erupted into an all-out armed conflict, plunging the nation into one of the most severe crises since its independence. The violent clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), led by Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, and Rapid Support Forces (RSF), commanded by Mohammed Hamdan ‘Hemeti’ Dagalo (a.k.a. Hemeti), have torn through Khartoum, the capital city of Sudan. Violence spilled over into peripheral regions such as Darfur and Kordofan. The ongoing conflict is the first post-independence war that is sweeping the entire country. Despite mediation efforts by the international community, the SAF and the RSF have rejected the ceasefire and continued fighting, which escalated into a severe humanitarian crisis. It is estimated that over 15,000 civilians have lost their lives and over 10 million have been displaced, either as internally displaced persons (IDPs) or as refugees fleeing to other countries. With over half of the population now facing food shortages, fears of a widespread famine are growing.

Sudan bears far-reaching geopolitical implications. Bordered by seven countries - Egypt, Libya, Chad, the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Eritrea, Sudan’s stability is crucial not only for the East African region but also for the broader Gulf region. With its proximity to the Arabian Peninsula and the Red Sea, Sudan’s internal strife poses a significant threat to regional security and could have adverse effects on the global economy.

This paper reviews the progress of the ongoing civil war in Sudan and analyzes its background. On the basis of this analysis, the report offers prospects for the war and draws implications for the ROK’s diplomacy.


*  Attached File #Sudan
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IFANS PERSPECTIVES 2024-10E(김동석).pdf
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